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Six weighted components computed from indexed evidence over a trailing window. Every component shows its data sources, timestamps, methodology and evidence count. Weights are configuration, not judgement calls made at render time.
Ratio of capability-classified signals and capability timeline events in the current window versus the baseline window, weighted by source confidence. 1.0x ratio maps to 50; 2.0x or more maps to 100; 0.5x or less maps to 0. Requires at least the configured minimum of capability signals.
| ratio | 3.319 |
| current_count | 50 |
| baseline_count | 14 |
| min_per_window | 5 |
| current_weighted | 38.29 |
| baseline_weighted | 11.54 |
| weighted contribution | 30.00 |
Share of capability evidence tagged autonomy, agentic, tool_use or long_horizon, blended 50/50 with the growth of that share versus the baseline window.
| share_current | 0.619 |
| share_baseline | 0.436 |
| autonomy_current_count | 32 |
| capability_current_count | 50 |
| weighted contribution | 15.26 |
100 minus the ratio of safety-side evidence (alignment signals, alignment/interpretability/evaluation papers, safety frameworks) to capability-side evidence in the window, scaled so parity maps to 50. A window where capability evidence is twice the safety evidence scores 100.
| safety_count | 14 |
| safety_weighted | 9.27 |
| capability_count | 50 |
| capability_weighted | 38.29 |
| ratio_capability_to_safety | 4.129 |
| weighted contribution | 20.00 |
Sum of severity ranks (low 1 … critical 4) of incidents with at least SOURCE_CONFIRMED verification inside the window, weighted by verification level (0.6 / 0.8 / 1.0), scaled with the saturating curve 100 × (1 − 2^(−points/10)): 10 severity points maps to 50, 30 maps to 87.5. UNVERIFIED incidents are excluded.
no verified incidents in window; component reads 0
| severity_points | 0 |
| verified_incidents | 0 |
| unverified_excluded | 0 |
| weighted contribution | 0.00 |
100 minus a saturating function of governance evidence (policies, regulations, commitments) in the window relative to the number of labs tracked. Zero governance evidence scores 100; one governance item per tracked lab scores 50.
| per_lab | 0.493 |
| labs_tracked | 7 |
| governance_count | 4 |
| governance_weighted | 3.45 |
| weighted contribution | 7.11 |
Confidence-weighted count of researcher events of type resignation, public_warning or open_letter plus RESEARCHER_WARNING signals inside the window, scaled with 100 × (1 − 2^(−n/5)): 5 weighted events maps to 50, 15 maps to 87.5.
no researcher warnings in window; component reads 0
| weighted_total | 0 |
| warning_signals | 0 |
| researcher_events | 0 |
| weighted contribution | 0.00 |